Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Sat, May 16, 2026
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Coastal Union
15%
Draws
54%
Singida Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Coastal Union haven't matched Singida Black Stars's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Singida Black Stars a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Singida Black Stars arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coastal Union, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 15%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Singida Black Stars
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.17 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
1:0
May 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Mar 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Coastal Union
1:0
Apr 10, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Coastal Union
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 10 / 100
Singida Black Stars 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Singida Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coastal Union scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Singida Black Stars has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Coastal Union stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Singida Black Stars
1.14 Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

Singida Black Stars

(Away)
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0