Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coban Imperial vs Santa Lucia

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coban Imperial play Santa Lucia in the Liga Nacional 2022/2023. Coban Imperial are favorites here. Recently, Coban Imperial averaged 1.15 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Santa Lucia averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Coban Imperial won 4, Santa Lucia won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 5, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Coban Imperial and 0.94 for Santa Lucia. This points to a Coban Imperial double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Coban Imperial
18%
Draws
26%
Santa Lucia
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Coban Imperial picked up more points recently compared to Santa Lucia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 24%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Santa Lucia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.15 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Santa Lucia
1:0
Feb 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Nov 27, 2022 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Coban Imperial
1:3
Sep 17, 2022 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Santa Lucia
2:1
May 4, 2022 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Santa Lucia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Santa Lucia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 55 / 100
Santa Lucia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Santa Lucia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Coban Imperial & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coban Imperial attacking → ← attacking Santa Lucia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coban Imperial scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Santa Lucia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Coban Imperial went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Santa Lucia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 24
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019