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Coban Imperial vs Zacapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Aguero J.
22' Event
Rivas M.
26' Event
Winter J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2024/2025 game between Coban Imperial and Zacapa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coban Imperial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Coban Imperial
35%
Draws
6%
Zacapa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coban Imperial come out ahead of Zacapa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Coban Imperial a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Zacapa
Matches Played 35 14
Wins 12 0
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
3:1
Aug 26, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Zacapa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Winter J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Zacapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Oscar O. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 59 / 100
Zacapa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Zacapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Coban Imperial stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Coban Imperial scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

Zacapa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Away concern: Zacapa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
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Zacapa

(Away)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 16 8 6 2 26:9 30
2 Municipal 16 8 6 2 25:15 30
3 Malacateco 16 7 4 5 19:13 25
4 Deportivo Mixco 16 6 4 6 15:19 22
5 Deportivo Achuapa 16 5 6 5 15:17 21
6 Marquense 16 2 6 8 11:26 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coban Imperial 16 7 4 5 25:16 25
2 Xinabajul 16 7 4 5 26:24 25
3 Comunicaciones 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
4 Antigua 16 6 5 5 27:24 23
5 Guastatoya 16 2 8 6 15:19 14
6 Zacapa 16 0 6 10 5:28 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Apertura - Play Offs)