Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs Antofagasta

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Insaurralde C.
(Penalty)
34'
Manzano F.
37'
Sandoval M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Cobreloa and Antofagasta finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cobreloa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cobreloa
35%
Draws
34%
Antofagasta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Cobreloa haven't matched Antofagasta's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 15%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa Antofagasta
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.74 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Antofagasta
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs Antofagasta
0:0
Jan 30, 2026 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Cobreloa
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Cobreloa
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Cobreloa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobreloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Antofagasta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 31 / 100
Antofagasta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa Antofagasta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobreloa's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Cobreloa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Antofagasta has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS Antofagasta
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2
Cobreloa
08 Aug
Cobreloa
1 : 1
Deportes Iquique
01 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Cobreloa
25 Jul
Cobreloa
4 : 2
Deportes Santa Cruz
12 Jul
Cobreloa
1 : 0
La Serena
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Antofagasta

(Away)
13 Aug
Antofagasta
0 : 0
S. Wanderers
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3
Antofagasta
01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1
San Felipe
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2
Antofagasta
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0
Cobresal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 20 10 8 2 38:22 38
2 S. Wanderers 20 9 8 3 36:21 35
3 Magallanes 20 9 5 6 36:35 32
4 D. Puerto Montt 20 9 4 7 22:20 31
5 U. Espanola 20 9 4 7 28:27 31
6 Antofagasta 19 8 6 5 32:20 30
7 San Marcos de Arica 20 7 9 4 24:16 30
8 San Luis 19 7 8 4 29:25 29
9 Copiapo 19 7 6 6 26:29 27
10 Recoleta 19 7 5 7 29:29 26
11 Deportes Temuco 19 6 6 7 31:28 24
12 Deportes Iquique 19 4 9 6 26:25 21
13 Curico Unido 19 4 8 7 18:28 20
14 San Felipe 20 5 5 10 15:35 20
15 Deportes Santa Cruz 19 3 7 9 24:34 16
16 Rangers 20 0 6 14 16:36 6
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)