Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs Copiapo

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Insaurralde C.
(Penalty)
15'
Temperini N.
17' Event
Gotti G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Cobreloa and Copiapo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cobreloa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cobreloa
35%
Draws
31%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cobreloa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cobreloa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 20%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa Copiapo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.71 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Copiapo
4:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Copiapo
1:1
May 10, 2025 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs Copiapo
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Cobreloa
1:1
Jan 28, 2025 Copa Chile
Copiapo vs Cobreloa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobreloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 42 / 100
Copiapo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa Copiapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cobreloa scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Cobreloa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Copiapo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS Copiapo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)
16 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 1
Cobreloa
12 Aug
Magallanes
2 : 2
Cobreloa
08 Aug
Cobreloa
1 : 1
Deportes Iquique
01 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Cobreloa
25 Jul
Cobreloa
4 : 2
Deportes Santa Cruz
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Copiapo

(Away)
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0
Curico Unido
14 Aug
Deportes Iquique
4 : 0
Copiapo
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1
San Luis
04 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 4
Copiapo
26 Jul
Rangers
0 : 0
Copiapo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 20 10 8 2 38:22 38
2 S. Wanderers 20 9 8 3 36:21 35
3 San Luis 20 8 8 4 31:25 32
4 Magallanes 20 9 5 6 36:35 32
5 Antofagasta 20 8 7 5 33:21 31
6 D. Puerto Montt 20 9 4 7 22:20 31
7 U. Espanola 20 9 4 7 28:27 31
8 San Marcos de Arica 20 7 9 4 24:16 30
9 Copiapo 20 8 6 6 30:29 30
10 Recoleta 20 7 6 7 30:30 27
11 Deportes Temuco 20 6 7 7 32:29 25
12 Deportes Iquique 20 4 10 6 27:26 22
13 Curico Unido 20 4 8 8 18:32 20
14 San Felipe 20 5 5 10 15:35 20
15 Deportes Santa Cruz 20 3 7 10 24:36 16
16 Rangers 20 0 6 14 16:36 6
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)