Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs La Serena

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Zorros del Desierto
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Tapia D.
30'
30'
Gutierrez B.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Chile game between Cobreloa and La Serena finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cobreloa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cobreloa
28%
Draws
22%
La Serena
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Cobreloa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to La Serena.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Cobreloa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Chile provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 15%
La Serena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa La Serena
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs La Serena
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile
La Serena vs Cobreloa
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs La Serena
1:0
Mar 19, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
La Serena vs Cobreloa
1:0
Aug 4, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs La Serena
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobreloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Duma J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

La Serena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 48 / 100
La Serena 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa La Serena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobreloa scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

La Serena let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cobreloa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

La Serena lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS La Serena
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica650114:915
2Everton622210:98
3San Luis613211:106
4Copiapo61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta541011:513
2La Serena52127:97
3Cobreloa51226:65
4Cobresal50232:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz641111:613
2A. Italiano64029:712
3Palestino631212:910
4Magallanes60065:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt53118:410
2D. Concepcion53118:610
3Deportes Temuco51224:75
4Huachipato51046:93