Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama

Cobreloa

1 - 0

La Serena

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Tapia D.

30'

Gutierrez B.

46'

Sub

Tapia M. In: Duma J.

Out: Tapia M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Cobreloa

30%

Draws

37%

La Serena

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Serena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Cobreloa carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Cobreloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cobreloa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Cobreloa Clean Sheet 18%

La Serena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cobreloa	La Serena
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	7
Draws	10	9
Losses	6	12
Goals Scored	1.69	1.46
Goals Conceded	1.14	2.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Chile

Cobreloa vs La Serena

1:0

Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile

La Serena vs Cobreloa

2:1

Aug 5, 2023 Liga de Ascenso

Cobreloa vs La Serena

1:0

Mar 19, 2023 Liga de Ascenso

La Serena vs Cobreloa

1:0

Aug 4, 2019 Liga de Ascenso

Cobreloa vs La Serena

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobreloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Duma J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

La Serena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 36 / 100

La Serena 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cobreloa La Serena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Serena Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobreloa scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

La Serena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Cobreloa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS La Serena

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)

05 Sept

San Luis

4 : 2

Cobreloa

01 Sept

Cobreloa

2 : 0

San Marcos de Arica

22 Aug

Cobreloa

0 : 1

U. Espanola

16 Aug

San Felipe

0 : 1

Cobreloa

12 Aug

Magallanes

2 : 2

Cobreloa

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La Serena

(Away)

31 Aug

Union La Calera

0 : 1

La Serena

23 Aug

La Serena

3 : 3

Cobresal

14 Aug

U. De Concepcion

0 : 2

La Serena

08 Aug

Coquimbo

1 : 1

La Serena

02 Aug

La Serena

1 : 2

O Higgins

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