Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobresal vs Union La Calera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador
Cobresal Logo

Cobresal

4 - 0
FT
Union La Calera Logo

Union La Calera

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Morales J.
23'
Perez R.
48' Event
Brea J.
Assist: Morales J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cobresal in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cobresal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cobresal
20%
Draws
40%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Union La Calera have won more games recently than Cobresal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 16%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobresal Union La Calera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Union La Calera
4:0
Feb 9, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Cobresal
0:3
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Union La Calera
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Cobresal
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Cobresal
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobresal Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brea J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Union La Calera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobresal 31 / 100
Union La Calera 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobresal Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Cobresal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cobresal found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Cobresal VS Union La Calera
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobresal

(Home)
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
07 Sept
Limache
3 : 0
Cobresal
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)