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Cobresol vs Sporting Cristal

Peru Peru

Primera Division 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Leandro Franco
84' Event
Sheput R.

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal in this Primera Division 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Cristal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cobresol
15%
Draws
65%
Sporting Cristal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Cristal lately — more wins on the board than Cobresol.
  • Sporting Cristal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cobresol Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobresol Sporting Cristal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2012 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cobresol
6:0
Sep 9, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Sporting Cristal
0:2
Jun 17, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Sporting Cristal
1:0
Feb 18, 2012 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Cobresol
2:1
Sep 25, 2011 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Sporting Cristal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobresol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Franco
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sheput R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobresol 10 / 100
Sporting Cristal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobresol Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cobresol scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Cobresol went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Cristal
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobresol

(Home)
25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Cobresol
18 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Nov
Cobresol
4 : 0
Sport Huancayo
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0
Cobresol
01 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Cristal

(Away)
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1
Sporting Cristal
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Sporting Cristal
02 Aug
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0
Juan Pablo II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 44 25 11 8 93:44 86
2 Sport Huancayo 44 18 9 17 52:51 63
3 Ayacucho 44 17 11 16 43:45 62
4 U. San Martin 44 16 12 16 49:52 61
5 Jose Galvez 44 17 10 17 48:54 61
6 Cienciano 44 16 9 19 58:59 57
7 Universitario de Deportes 44 15 13 16 52:58 57
8 Cobresol 44 6 8 30 33:82 22
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cusco 44 24 10 10 63:35 82
2 Cesar Vallejo 44 21 11 12 57:44 74
3 Juan Aurich 44 20 9 15 56:54 71
4 FBC Melgar 44 18 12 14 56:44 66
5 Union Comercio 44 16 9 19 51:61 57
6 Leon de Huanuco 44 13 15 16 54:47 54
7 A. Lima 44 14 15 15 50:51 53
8 Sport Boys 44 6 16 22 36:70 32
Promotion - Primera Division 2012 (Play Offs)