Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cockburn City vs Mandurah City

Australia Australia

WA State League Dalmatinac Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
McVittie I.
38' Event
Callaghan J.
49' Event
McVittie I.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Cockburn City and Mandurah City finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mandurah City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cockburn City
17%
Draws
70%
Mandurah City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mandurah City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Mandurah City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mandurah City are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Cockburn City Clean Sheet 10%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cockburn City Mandurah City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Cockburn City
2:2
Mar 28, 2026 WA State League
Cockburn City vs Mandurah City
2:3
Jun 29, 2024 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Cockburn City
3:2
Mar 30, 2024 WA State League
Cockburn City vs Mandurah City
0:4
Jul 1, 2017 NPL Western Australia
Cockburn City vs Mandurah City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cockburn City Compare

Top Goalscorer McVittie I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Callaghan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader O'Brien J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cockburn City 14 / 100
Mandurah City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cockburn City Mandurah City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Cockburn City scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Cockburn City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cockburn City VS Mandurah City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cockburn City

(Home)
18 Jul
Cockburn City
0 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
11 Jul
Cockburn City
0 : 2
Kingsley Westside
04 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Cockburn City
27 Jun
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Cockburn City
20 Jun
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Cockburn City
Page 1 of 6

Mandurah City

(Away)
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Mandurah City
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Kingsley Westside
20 Jun
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Cockburn City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena17123240:1739
2UWA Nedlands17112439:2235
3Mandurah City17102542:3132
4Joondalup City17101631:2531
5Inglewood Utd1783617:1827
6Kingsley Westside1781827:2425
7Gwelup Croatia SC1756625:3121
8Quinns1763822:3321
9Cockburn City1754828:3519
10Murdoch University Melville1737728:3416
11Subiaco17411228:4013
12Curtin University17231214:319
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)