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Stadium Background

Cofutpa vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pungo F.
39' Event
Castro A.
42' Event
Edwards A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Cofutpa and Santa Cruz finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cofutpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cofutpa
15%
Draws
36%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cofutpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cofutpa come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cofutpa Clean Sheet 17%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cofutpa Santa Cruz
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.15 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs Santa Cruz
3:1
Aug 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Cofutpa
3:1
Mar 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs Santa Cruz
3:3
Jan 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Cofutpa
4:1
Nov 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Cofutpa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cofutpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pungo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cofutpa 30 / 100
Santa Cruz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cofutpa Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cofutpa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cofutpa scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Santa Cruz's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cofutpa VS Santa Cruz
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cofutpa

(Home)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)