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Coimbroes vs Beira Mar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Melo T. M.
67' Event
Pimenta T.
(Penalty)
90'
Sousa J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Coimbroes and Beira Mar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Coimbroes
35%
Draws
52%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Beira Mar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Coimbroes Clean Sheet 20%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbroes Beira Mar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Coimbroes vs Beira Mar
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs Coimbroes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coimbroes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Melo T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbroes 32 / 100
Beira Mar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbroes Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coimbroes scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Beira Mar conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Coimbroes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Beira Mar
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coimbroes

(Home)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Cinfaes
3 : 1
Coimbroes
16 Mar
FC Alpendorada
2 : 1
Coimbroes
09 Mar
Coimbroes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
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Beira Mar

(Away)
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2
Beira Mar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)