Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colatina SE vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Colatina SE
20%
Draws
47%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES have won more games recently than Colatina SE.
  • Rio Branco ES are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Colatina SE Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colatina SE Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2012 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Rio Branco ES
2:2
Feb 7, 2012 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Colatina SE
0:0
Apr 16, 2011 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Colatina SE
2:1
Feb 26, 2011 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Rio Branco ES
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colatina SE 12 / 100
Rio Branco ES 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colatina SE Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colatina SE scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Rio Branco ES has conceded goals in 63% of their last 40 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Colatina SE remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rio Branco ES
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colatina SE

(Home)
10 May
Colatina SE
2 : 5
Linhares Futebol Clube
05 May
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Colatina SE
26 Apr
Colatina SE
4 : 2
Real Noroeste
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
14 Apr
Colatina SE
0 : 0
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)