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Colatinense vs Serra

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2007 game between Colatinense and Serra finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Colatinense
20%
Draws
16%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colatinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Colatinense haven't matched Serra's recent run of results.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Colatinense Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colatinense Serra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2009 Capixaba
Serra vs Colatinense
1:3
Feb 14, 2009 Capixaba
Colatinense vs Serra
1:3
Mar 12, 2008 Capixaba
Colatinense vs Serra
2:4
Jan 26, 2008 Capixaba
Serra vs Colatinense
1:0
Jan 15, 2007 Capixaba
Colatinense vs Serra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colatinense 31 / 100
Serra 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colatinense Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colatinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Colatinense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Serra let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Serra's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Serra
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colatinense

(Home)
02 May
Jaguare
2 : 1
Colatinense
25 Apr
Colatinense
1 : 2
Vilavelhense
18 Apr
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Colatinense
11 Apr
Serra
1 : 3
Colatinense
04 Apr
Colatinense
0 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
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Serra

(Away)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaguare 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
2 CTE Colatina 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Estrela do Norte 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
4 Pinheiros 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2007 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilavelhense 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
2 Colatinense 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Serra 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Rio Branco ES 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
5 Vitoria ES 4 0 0 4 3:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2007 (First stage - Play Offs)