Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21

England England

Professional Development League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lisbie K.
47' Event
Bates M.
59' Event
Emery L.

AI Match Summary

Colchester U21 in this Professional Development League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colchester U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Colchester U21
15%
Draws
46%
Swansea U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea U21 lately — more wins on the board than Colchester U21.
  • Win probability leans Swansea U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Colchester U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Swansea U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U21 Swansea U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.94 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Colchester U21
5:0
Mar 9, 2026 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21
3:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League Cup
Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Swansea U21
2:0
Jan 6, 2025 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Colchester U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisbie K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Emery L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Swansea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bates M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U21 18 / 100
Swansea U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U21 Swansea U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Colchester U21 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Swansea U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Colchester U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U21 VS Swansea U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Colchester U21
2 : 1
Sheffield Wed U21
15 Sept
Wigan U21
6 : 4
Colchester U21
01 Sept
Colchester U21
3 : 4
Barnsley U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0
Colchester U21
14 Aug
Fleetwood Town U21
0 : 4
Colchester U21
Page 1 of 7

Swansea U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
2 : 1
Swansea U21
14 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Huddersfield U21
07 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 2
Huddersfield U21
01 Sept
Hull City U21
0 : 2
Swansea U21
25 Aug
Swansea U21
2 : 3
Peterborough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 28 18 4 6 67:34 58
2 Sheffield Utd U21 28 15 7 6 58:39 52
3 Bournemouth U21 28 16 2 10 67:47 50
4 Swansea U21 28 14 6 8 69:50 48
5 Peterborough U21 28 14 6 8 66:52 48
6 Huddersfield U21 28 14 6 8 59:50 48
7 Watford U21 28 12 9 7 69:53 45
8 Charlton U21 28 11 7 10 58:49 40
9 Cardiff U21 28 11 7 10 48:39 40
10 Wigan U21 28 11 5 12 67:58 38
11 Hull City U21 28 10 7 11 49:53 37
12 Barnsley U21 28 10 7 11 51:58 37
13 Millwall U21 28 11 3 14 48:52 36
14 Bristol City U21 28 10 5 13 45:54 35
15 Coventry U21 28 11 2 15 46:63 35
16 QPR U21 28 8 9 11 51:61 33
17 Sheffield Wed U21 28 8 6 14 49:63 30
18 Colchester U21 28 6 6 16 40:77 24
19 Fleetwood Town U21 28 5 8 15 36:63 23
20 Crewe U21 28 5 8 15 41:69 23
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)