Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colchester U23 vs Southend U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Unwin B.
68' Event
Terry F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colchester U23
20%
Draws
40%
Southend U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Colchester U23 have won more games recently than Southend U23.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Colchester U23 taking it.
  • Colchester U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Southend U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U23 Southend U23
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 9 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2022 Premier League Cup
Southend U23 vs Colchester U23
1:0
Oct 8, 2021 Premier League Cup
Colchester U23 vs Southend U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Terry F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Southend U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Unwin B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U23 85 / 100
Southend U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U23 Southend U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colchester U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend U23 has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.

Colchester U23 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Southend U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U23 VS Southend U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U23

(Home)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3
Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3
QPR U23
Page 1 of 7

Southend U23

(Away)
14 Feb
Southend U23
1 : 5
Stoke City U23
25 Jan
Southend U23
1 : 0
Colchester U23
08 Dec
Fulham U23
4 : 0
Southend U23
22 Nov
Stoke City U23
3 : 0
Southend U23
08 Oct
Colchester U23
1 : 1
Southend U23
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)