Sport Picks
Colchester vs Oldham
England
League Two 2025/2026 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester 
Match Events
8'
8'
Daniels D.
Assist: Robson J.
42'
42'
Woods R.
46'
46'
Sub
Williams J. In: Goodwin W.
Out: Williams J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Colchester and Oldham finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oldham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oldham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Oldham carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Colchester Clean Sheet 19%
Oldham Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colchester | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 League Two
Colchester vs Oldham
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Colchester
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 League Two
Colchester vs Oldham
1:1
Aug 21, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Colchester
1:2
Apr 9, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Colchester
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Lisbie K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Oldham Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniels D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taylor K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colchester 32 / 100
Oldham 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colchester Oldham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oldham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Oldham conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: Oldham has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Colchester scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Colchester VS Oldham
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Colchester
(Home) 08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2 Southampton
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2 Charlton
24 Jul
Colchester
2 : 2 West Ham U21
21 Jul
Colchester
2 : 3 Peterborough
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2 Southampton
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2 Charlton
24 Jul
Colchester
2 : 2 West Ham U21
21 Jul
Colchester
2 : 3 Peterborough
25 Apr
Colchester
0 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 3
Oldham
(Away) 08 Aug
Stoke City
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0 Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3 Bolton
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Stoke City
2 : 0 Oldham
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oldham
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2 Oldham
14 Apr
Barrow
3 : 2 Oldham
11 Apr
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 Oldham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
