Sport Picks
Colchester vs Swindon
England
League Two 2025/2026 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester 
Match Events
29'
29'
Ball J.
48'
48'
Read A.
Assist: Edwards O.
54'
54'
Goodwin W.
Assist: Iandolo E.
AI Match Summary
Colchester in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colchester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colchester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Swindon have won more games recently than Colchester.
- Colchester are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colchester Clean Sheet 17%
Swindon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colchester | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Colchester
3:1
Apr 10, 2026 League Two
Colchester vs Swindon
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Colchester
0:0
Jan 1, 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Colchester
3:2
Dec 3, 2024 League Two
Colchester vs Swindon
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Read A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Goodwin W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Swindon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colchester 75 / 100
Swindon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colchester Swindon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colchester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swindon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Colchester found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Colchester remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Colchester VS Swindon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Colchester
(Home) 26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1 Colchester
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
29 Aug
Colchester
1 : 0 Rochdale
22 Aug
Colchester
2 : 1 Oldham
08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Swindon
(Away) 26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Swindon
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
29 Aug
Oldham
3 : 0 Swindon
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0 Swindon
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
