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Colegiales vs Atl. Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Colegiales Logo

Colegiales

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Atl. Rafaela Logo

Atl. Rafaela

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colegiales host Atl. Rafaela in the Primera Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Colegiales at 1.1 goals for, 0.79 against; Atl. Rafaela at 0.83 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Colegiales have won 0 to Atl. Rafaela's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.94, favoring Colegiales. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Colegiales
15%
Draws
32%
Atl. Rafaela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colegiales come out ahead of Atl. Rafaela on wins alone.
  • Colegiales are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Atl. Rafaela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Colegiales
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 76 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Atl. Rafaela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colegiales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Colegiales remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Atl. Rafaela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Atl. Rafaela has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Atl. Rafaela
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
17 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 3
Colegiales
10 Oct
Colegiales
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela

(Away)
17 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0
Quilmes
10 Oct
Midland
4 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3
Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 33 18 8 7 37:28 62
2 Deportivo Moron 33 17 7 9 51:34 58
3 Godoy Cruz 33 16 9 8 42:29 57
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 CA Estudiantes 33 13 9 11 31:27 48
8 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
9 Los Andes 33 9 13 11 25:24 40
10 Chaco For Ever 33 10 10 13 32:34 40
11 Racing Cordoba 33 10 10 13 30:39 40
12 Defensores de Belgrano 33 8 13 12 25:32 37
13 San Telmo 33 9 10 14 28:37 37
14 CA Mitre 33 7 15 11 29:39 36
15 Central Norte 33 6 16 11 21:30 34
16 All Boys 33 6 16 11 18:28 34
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 33 16 11 6 40:27 59
3 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 33 15 10 8 50:42 55
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 33 12 10 11 35:33 46
10 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
11 San Martin T. 33 10 13 10 35:33 43
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Nueva Chicago 33 9 9 15 24:32 36
17 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 33 5 8 20 23:56 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)