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Colegiales vs Patronato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Rueda W.
Assist: Diaz D.
46'
Sub
Ocampo E. In: Albertengo M.
Out: Ocampo E.
49' Event
Rivero F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Patronato finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Colegiales
30%
Draws
28%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Patronato haven't matched Colegiales's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 22%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Patronato
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 14
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Patronato
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colegiales
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Patronato
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colegiales
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Albertengo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Rueda W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 37 / 100
Patronato 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Patronato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patronato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Patronato has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Colegiales has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Patronato
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

Patronato

(Away)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)