Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colegiales vs Patronato

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Rueda W.
Assist: Diaz D.
46'
Sub
Ocampo E. In: Albertengo M.
Out: Ocampo E.
49' Event
Rivero F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Patronato finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Colegiales
35%
Draws
18%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Patronato haven't matched Colegiales's recent run of results.
  • Colegiales are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Patronato
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 14
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Patronato
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colegiales
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Patronato
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colegiales
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Albertengo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Rueda W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 50 / 100
Patronato 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Patronato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colegiales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Patronato has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Colegiales has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Patronato
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
22 Aug
Almagro
0 : 0
Colegiales
15 Aug
San Miguel
2 : 0
Colegiales
09 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 2
Patronato
01 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

Patronato

(Away)
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3
Gimnasia Jujuy
15 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Patronato
09 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 2
Patronato
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3
Quilmes
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 25 15 4 6 31:23 49
2 Deportivo Moron 25 13 6 6 41:24 45
3 Colon Santa Fe 26 12 9 5 34:20 45
4 Almirante Brown 26 11 8 7 22:16 41
5 Deportivo Madryn 25 10 10 5 36:24 40
6 Godoy Cruz 25 11 7 7 29:22 40
7 CA Estudiantes 26 9 8 9 23:22 35
8 Ciudad Bolivar 25 8 10 7 21:22 34
9 Los Andes 25 8 9 8 20:15 33
10 Racing Cordoba 25 8 7 10 23:28 31
11 San Miguel 25 6 11 8 20:25 29
12 CA Mitre 26 6 11 9 25:33 29
13 Central Norte 25 6 9 10 17:25 27
14 All Boys 25 5 12 8 15:23 27
15 Defensores de Belgrano 25 5 11 9 16:23 26
16 Chaco For Ever 25 6 7 12 22:29 25
17 San Telmo 25 5 9 11 20:29 24
18 Acassuso 25 5 7 13 18:30 22
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 25 13 9 3 28:13 48
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 26 13 6 7 39:32 45
3 Atletico Atlanta 25 13 3 9 31:25 42
4 Temperley 25 10 10 5 27:21 40
5 Midland 24 10 8 6 26:17 38
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 26 10 8 8 27:25 38
7 Deportivo Maipu 25 10 5 10 33:27 35
8 Atl. Rafaela 25 9 8 8 18:19 35
9 Quilmes 25 8 8 9 27:21 32
10 San Martin S.J. 24 8 8 8 26:24 32
11 San Martin T. 25 7 11 7 24:22 32
12 Colegiales 25 8 7 10 23:25 31
13 Almagro 26 8 7 11 21:29 31
14 Nueva Chicago 25 7 8 10 20:24 29
15 Agropecuario 26 7 8 11 22:30 29
16 Chacarita Juniors 25 7 6 12 18:26 27
17 Patronato 25 4 13 8 21:29 25
18 Club Atletico Guemes 25 5 6 14 21:43 21
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)