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Colegiales vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Fernandez Rosales D.
40' Event
Oviedo A.
45' Event
Duarte J.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2024 game between Colegiales and San Lorenzo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Lorenzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Colegiales
6%
Draws
90%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Lorenzo come out ahead of Colegiales on wins alone.
  • San Lorenzo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and San Lorenzo have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 25%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales San Lorenzo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2024 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Colegiales
3:0
Jun 23, 2024 Division Intermedia
Colegiales vs San Lorenzo
1:3
Jul 16, 2023 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Colegiales
4:0
Apr 9, 2023 Division Intermedia
Colegiales vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Jul 17, 2022 Division Intermedia
Colegiales vs San Lorenzo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Rosales D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Oviedo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duarte J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 10 / 100
San Lorenzo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Colegiales's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: San Lorenzo has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Lorenzo
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
14 Oct
Colegiales
2 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Oct
Fernando de la Mora
5 : 0
Colegiales
30 Sept
San Lorenzo
3 : 0
Colegiales
20 Sept
Colegiales
0 : 3
Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Resistencia
2 : 0
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1
San Lorenzo
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
10 May
San Lorenzo
1 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
01 May
Libertad Asuncion
5 : 0
San Lorenzo
26 Apr
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta30198357:2065
2Atletico Tembetary30195646:2462
3Sportivo Carapegua30177645:2758
4San Lorenzo301210835:3146
5Resistencia301361135:3545
6Encarnacion FC301281043:3944
7Deportivo Santani301191035:3342
8Rubio Nu301191033:3542
9Guairena FC301011930:2538
1012 de Junio301081235:3538
11Independiente FBC301081233:3738
12Martin Ledesma308121028:3536
13Fernando de la Mora308111131:3335
143 de Febrero306111324:3729
15Pastoreo30651928:5023
16Colegiales30242428:7010
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