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Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazan

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
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Match Events

39' Event
Asensio A.

AI Match Summary

Colegios Diocesanos in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colegios Diocesanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Colegios Diocesanos
6%
Draws
90%
Almazan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Almazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Almazan have won more games recently than Colegios Diocesanos.
  • Win probability leans Almazan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%
Almazan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegios Diocesanos Almazan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazan
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:2
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Colegios Diocesanos
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Almazan
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Colegios Diocesanos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Asensio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Almazan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegios Diocesanos 10 / 100
Almazan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegios Diocesanos Almazan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegios Diocesanos's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Almazan let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Almazan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Colegios Diocesanos VS Almazan
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624