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Colegios Diocesanos vs Bembibre

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gonzalez C.
36' Event
El Guenaoui I.
46' Event
Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

Colegios Diocesanos host Bembibre in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bembibre have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Colegios Diocesanos have conceded 2.63 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Colegios Diocesanos have won 2 to Bembibre's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.31, favoring Colegios Diocesanos. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Colegios Diocesanos
28%
Draws
50%
Bembibre
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Colegios Diocesanos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bembibre.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Bembibre.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 8 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegios Diocesanos Bembibre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 2.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Bembibre
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Bembibre
0:0
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Guenaoui I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegios Diocesanos 22 / 100
Bembibre 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegios Diocesanos Bembibre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegios Diocesanos scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Bembibre let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Colegios Diocesanos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bembibre lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colegios Diocesanos VS Bembibre
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624