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Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colegios Diocesanos host Palencia CA in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This one's hard to separate. Palencia CA have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Colegios Diocesanos have conceded 1.9 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Palencia CA slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.75 - 1.25) back Palencia CA to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Colegios Diocesanos
20%
Draws
73%
Palencia CA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Palencia CA have won more games recently than Colegios Diocesanos.
  • Win probability leans Palencia CA's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 19%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegios Diocesanos Palencia CA
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CA
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Colegios Diocesanos
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CA
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegios Diocesanos 10 / 100
Palencia CA 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegios Diocesanos Palencia CA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Colegios Diocesanos found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Colegios Diocesanos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colegios Diocesanos VS Palencia CA
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegios Diocesanos

(Home)
03 Oct
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6

Palencia CA

(Away)
04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
2 Palencia CA 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Leonesa B 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Bembibre 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 Santa Marta Tormes 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
6 La Virgen 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
7 Mansilles 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
8 Arandina 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Almazan 6 1 4 1 10:12 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
12 Villaralbo 6 1 3 2 11:9 6
13 Guijuelo 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
14 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
15 Colegios Diocesanos 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
16 Turegano 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
17 Unionistas de Salamanca B 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
18 Mirandes B 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)