Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coleraine U19 vs Pobeda U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Patton J.
Assist: Cullen C.
42' Event
Todoroski F.
45'
Arizankoski A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Coleraine U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Coleraine U19
25%
Draws
35%
Pobeda U19
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Coleraine U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Coleraine U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pobeda U19's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Coleraine U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coleraine U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.2%
Coleraine U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Pobeda U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine U19 Pobeda U19
Matches Played 4 2
Wins 1 0
Draws 1 1
Losses 2 1
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Pobeda U19 vs Coleraine U19
2:2
Sep 28, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Coleraine U19 vs Pobeda U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Patton J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stinson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Pobeda U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Todoroski F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine U19 18 / 100
Pobeda U19 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine U19 Pobeda U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pobeda U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobeda U19 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Coleraine U19 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Recent resilience: Coleraine U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine U19 VS Pobeda U19
1.5 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine U19

(Home)
02 Nov
Genk U19
6 : 1
Coleraine U19
26 Oct
Coleraine U19
0 : 4
Genk U19
05 Oct
Pobeda U19
2 : 2
Coleraine U19
28 Sept
Coleraine U19
3 : 2
Pobeda U19

Pobeda U19

(Away)
05 Oct
Pobeda U19
2 : 2
Coleraine U19
28 Sept
Coleraine U19
3 : 2
Pobeda U19

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar U19 6
Shamrock U19 1
Omonia U19 1
Crvena zvezda U19 3
Molde U19 2
Hibernian U19 3
Nantes U19 5
Pyunik Yerevan U19 0
Young Boys U19 5
Domzale U19 2
AIK U19 8
Racing Luxembourg U19 2
Genk U19 5
Slavia Prague U19 4
Coleraine U19 5
Pobeda U19 4
Slavia Sofia U19 2
Panathinaikos U19 10
Zalgiris U19 2
Trencin U19 5
FC Astana U19 2
Apolonia Fier U19 4
Hajduk Split U19 5
Gabala U19 1
Miercurea Ciuc U19 1
Galatasaray U19 5
Rukh Lviv U19 1
Zaglebie U19 0
SC Ashdod U19 5
Borac Banja Luka U19 0
MTK Budapest U19 4
Jelgava U19 0
Final
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Crvena zvezda U19 3
Hibernian U19 3
Nantes U19 1
Young Boys U19 4
AIK U19 3
Genk U19 10
Coleraine U19 1
Panathinaikos U19 6
Trencin U19 3
Apolonia Fier U19 1
Hajduk Split U19 6
Galatasaray U19 2
Rukh Lviv U19 6
SC Ashdod U19 1
MTK Budapest U19 2