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Coleraine vs Glentoran

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Coleraine Logo

Coleraine

6 - 2
FT
Glentoran Logo

Glentoran

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Patching W.
(Penalty)
14' Event
Ives L.
46'
Sub
Daniels J. In: Clarke R.
Out: Daniels J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
18%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Glentoran.
  • Model gives Coleraine a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 68%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Glentoran
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 22 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.24 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Glentoran
6:2
Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Coleraine
2:1
Dec 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Ives L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patching W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malone J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 95 / 100
Glentoran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Coleraine remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Glentoran let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Glentoran
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran

(Away)
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Larne 38 25 8 5 73:26 83
2 Coleraine 38 25 5 8 83:37 80
3 Glentoran 38 23 8 7 73:38 77
4 Linfield 38 19 9 10 61:33 66
5 Cliftonville 38 15 8 15 55:59 53
6 Dungannon 38 15 1 22 42:77 46
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)