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Coleraine vs Glentoran

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Patching W.
(Penalty)
14' Event
Ives L.
46'
Sub
Daniels J. In: Clarke R.
Out: Daniels J.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Coleraine
33%
Draws
27%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Glentoran.
  • Model gives Coleraine a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 68%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Glentoran
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 27 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Glentoran
6:2
Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Coleraine
2:1
Dec 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Glentoran
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Ives L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patching W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malone J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 50 / 100
Glentoran 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Glentoran conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Coleraine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Glentoran
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portstewart
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Glentoran

(Away)
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4
Kilmarnock
26 Jun
East Belfast
1 : 8
Glentoran
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Larne38258573:2683
2Coleraine38255883:3780
3Glentoran38238773:3877
4Linfield381991061:3366
5Cliftonville381581555:5953
6Dungannon381512242:7746
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)