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Coleraine vs Institute - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
McManus D.
31' Event
Cooper J.
36' Event
McManus D.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
42%
Institute
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Coleraine have won more games recently than Institute.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Institute taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 13%
Institute Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Institute
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.37 2
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Coleraine vs Institute
6:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Coleraine vs Institute
5:2
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Coleraine vs Institute
1:2
Feb 22, 2020 NIFL Premiership
Institute vs Coleraine
0:4
Nov 30, 2019 NIFL Premiership
Institute vs Coleraine
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer McManus D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cooper J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Institute Compare

Top Goalscorer Tweed E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porter C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 27 / 100
Institute 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Institute

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Institute let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Coleraine stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Institute
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
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Institute

(Away)
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
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