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Coleraine vs Tobermore

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
McIlhatton D.
' Event
Jarvis A.
' Event
Mitchell A.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
17%
Tobermore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Tobermore haven't matched Coleraine's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coleraine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coleraine have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 20%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Tobermore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 3 0
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2.23 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Coleraine vs Tobermore
2:1
Feb 4, 2017 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Tobermore
1:0
Jan 12, 2008 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Tobermore
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarvis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Tobermore Compare

Top Goalscorer McIlhatton D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 85 / 100
Tobermore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Tobermore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tobermore conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Coleraine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
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Tobermore

(Away)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
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