Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC

0 - 2

Leones Negros 2

Our Tip

Match Events

59'

Garcia D.

87'

Ortega L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Colima FC and Leones Negros 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones Negros 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Colima FC

33%

Draws

27%

Leones Negros 2

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Colima FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Leones Negros 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Colima FC a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Leones Negros 2 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Colima FC Clean Sheet 68%

Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colima FC	Leones Negros 2
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	4	18
Draws	5	2
Losses	21	13
Goals Scored	1.25	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Leones Negros 2

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Sep 13, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Leones Negros 2 vs Colima FC

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Apr 5, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Leones Negros 2 vs Colima FC

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Nov 23, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Leones Negros 2

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Mar 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Leones Negros 2

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colima FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Leones Negros 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ortega L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colima FC 50 / 100

Leones Negros 2 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colima FC Leones Negros 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones Negros 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Colima FC scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Colima FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colima FC VS Leones Negros 2

1.25 Goals Scored 2.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17