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Collado Villalba vs Cala Pozuelo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Collado Villalba play Cala Pozuelo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Collado Villalba averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Cala Pozuelo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Collado Villalba won 1, Cala Pozuelo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 19, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Collado Villalba and 1.25 for Cala Pozuelo. This points to a Collado Villalba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Collado Villalba
39%
Draws
30%
Cala Pozuelo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Collado Villalba has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cala Pozuelo.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 19%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collado Villalba Cala Pozuelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Cala Pozuelo
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Collado Villalba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collado Villalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collado Villalba 32 / 100
Cala Pozuelo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collado Villalba Cala Pozuelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collado Villalba scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Cala Pozuelo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Collado Villalba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cala Pozuelo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Collado Villalba VS Cala Pozuelo
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RSD Alcala34236568:3275
2Rayo Vallecano B34187971:5261
3AD Torrejon341771055:4858
4Villaverde San Andres341412852:3754
5Galapagar341412845:4154
6CD Las Rozas341591045:4254
7Collado Villalba3414101044:3652
8Leganes B341312958:3851
9Alcorcon B341381355:5047
10Trival Valderas3412101247:4746
11Tres Cantos341291343:4445
12Mexico341191435:4942
13Carabanchel3410121230:2942
14Parla341081638:5838
15Cala Pozuelo341081642:5138
16Aravaca CF34981742:5235
17Canillas34582136:6823
18El Alamo34572229:6122