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Collerense vs Cardassar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Chakroun R.

AI Match Summary

Cardassar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Collerense
15%
Draws
53%
Cardassar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardassar have won more games recently than Collerense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Collerense Clean Sheet 13%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Cardassar
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Cardassar
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Collerense
1:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Collerense
1:3
Nov 21, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Cardassar
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chakroun R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 31 / 100
Cardassar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Cardassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collerense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Cardassar let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Collerense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS Cardassar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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Cardassar

(Away)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)