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Collerense vs Felanitx Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
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Match Events

44' Event
Gomez M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Muntaner B.
90' Event
Vinicius Amorim

AI Match Summary

Felanitx in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Felanitx.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Collerense
15%
Draws
28%
Felanitx
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Collerense have won more games recently than Felanitx.
  • Win probability leans Collerense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%
Felanitx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Felanitx
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Felanitx
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Collerense
3:3
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Felanitx vs Collerense
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Felanitx
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Felanitx
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Felanitx Compare

Top Goalscorer Muntaner B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Amorim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 95 / 100
Felanitx 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Felanitx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Felanitx has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Collerense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Felanitx registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS Felanitx
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 6

Felanitx

(Away)
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
CD Son Cladera
4 : 3
Felanitx
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
19 Apr
Mallorca B
8 : 1
Felanitx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)