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Collerense vs Inter Ibiza

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rodriguez A.
42' Event
Jimenez A.
76' Event
Navarro G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Collerense and Inter Ibiza finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Collerense
15%
Draws
0%
Inter Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Ibiza come out ahead of Collerense on wins alone.
  • Collerense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Inter Ibiza
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Inter Ibiza
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Collerense
3:1
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Inter Ibiza
2:1
Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Collerense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Inter Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 95 / 100
Inter Ibiza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Inter Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Inter Ibiza has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Collerense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Inter Ibiza conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS Inter Ibiza
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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Inter Ibiza

(Away)
12 Sept
Inter Ibiza
0 : 2
Mercadal
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)