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Collerense vs Norteno CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Collerense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Collerense
15%
Draws
34%
Norteno CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Collerense lately — more wins on the board than Norteno CF.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Collerense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Collerense Clean Sheet 18%
Norteno CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Norteno CF
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 3
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.18 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Norteno CF
1:0
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Norteno CF vs Collerense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 85 / 100
Norteno CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Norteno CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collerense found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (40 games).

Defensive concern: Norteno CF conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Norteno CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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Norteno CF

(Away)
15 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Norteno CF
07 May
Norteno CF
0 : 0
Mercadal
30 Apr
Norteno CF
1 : 0
Alaior
25 Apr
Binissalem
3 : 0
Norteno CF
17 Apr
Norteno CF
0 : 3
Pena Deportiva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)