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Collerense vs Rotlet Molinar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Martinez A.
30' Event
Uguet L.
37' Event
Segui A.

AI Match Summary

Rotlet Molinar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rotlet Molinar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Collerense
15%
Draws
34%
Rotlet Molinar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Collerense average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Rotlet Molinar's 1.03.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Collerense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Rotlet Molinar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Collerense
2:5
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Rotlet Molinar
3:4
Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Collerense
3:0
Oct 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Rotlet Molinar
1:0
Jan 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Rotlet Molinar
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Top Goalscorer Segui A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uguet L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 59 / 100
Rotlet Molinar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Rotlet Molinar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotlet Molinar has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Collerense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rotlet Molinar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS Rotlet Molinar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 6

Rotlet Molinar

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)