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Collerense vs Santanyi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Duran I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Collerense and Santanyi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Collerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Collerense
15%
Draws
26%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Collerense haven't matched Santanyi's recent run of results.
  • Collerense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Collerense Clean Sheet 68%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Santanyi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Collerense vs Santanyi
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Santanyi
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Collerense
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Collerense
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Santanyi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santanyi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 68 / 100
Santanyi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Collerense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Santanyi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS Santanyi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
11 Apr
Collerense
1 : 0
Santanyi
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Santanyi

(Away)
22 Aug
Santanyi
0 : 2
Porreres
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
Santanyi
2 : 1
Pena Deportiva
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)