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Collerense vs Soller

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ebulabate A.
12' Event
Pastor D.
17' Event
Lares A.

AI Match Summary

Collerense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collerense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Collerense
15%
Draws
34%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Collerense have won more games recently than Soller.
  • Model gives Collerense a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Collerense Clean Sheet 18%
Soller Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collerense Soller
Matches Played 41 31
Wins 10 4
Draws 12 3
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.34 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Soller
4:1
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Collerense
2:3
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Collerense
0:1
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Soller
1:1
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Collerense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebulabate A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Soller Compare

Top Goalscorer Lares A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collerense 85 / 100
Soller 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collerense Soller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Soller conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Collerense scored in 66% of their last 41 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Soller has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Collerense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Collerense

(Home)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 9

Soller

(Away)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)