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Colo Colo vs Alagoinhas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colo Colo in this Baiano 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colo Colo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Colo Colo
30%
Draws
47%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alagoinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colo Colo lately — more wins on the board than Alagoinhas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Colo Colo Clean Sheet 20%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colo Colo Alagoinhas
Matches Played 38 42
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 14
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.95 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Colo Colo
2:2
May 6, 2018 Baiano 2
Colo Colo vs Alagoinhas
1:0
Mar 17, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Colo Colo
0:0
May 20, 2017 Baiano 2
Colo Colo vs Alagoinhas
0:1
May 14, 2017 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Colo Colo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colo Colo 32 / 100
Alagoinhas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colo Colo Alagoinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alagoinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colo Colo's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Alagoinhas let in goals in 69% of their last 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Alagoinhas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alagoinhas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colo Colo

(Home)
15 Feb
Juazeirense
4 : 1
Colo Colo
09 Feb
Bahia
6 : 0
Colo Colo
04 Feb
Colo Colo
2 : 2
Barcelona FC
31 Jan
Jacuipense
1 : 0
Colo Colo
25 Jan
Colo Colo
1 : 4
Vitoria
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Alagoinhas

(Away)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alagoinhas 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
2 Cajazeiras 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
3 Colo Colo 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
4 Conquista FC 9 3 3 3 12:15 12
5 Teixeira de Freitas 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
6 Galicia 10 1 1 8 8:27 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2018 (Play Offs)