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Colo Colo W vs Caracas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. Colo Colo W go into this one as the clear favorite. Colo Colo W have averaged 3.84 scored and 0.29 conceded recently, against Caracas W's 0 scored and 1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.17 xG vs 0.56) point toward Colo Colo W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colo Colo W
25%
Draws
35%
Caracas W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Colo Colo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Colo Colo W have won more games recently than Caracas W.
  • Model gives Colo Colo W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Colo Colo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.4%
Colo Colo W Clean Sheet 20%
Caracas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colo Colo W Caracas W
Matches Played 31 1
Wins 28 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 2 1
Goals Scored 3.84 0
Goals Conceded 0.29 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colo Colo W 85 / 100
Caracas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colo Colo W Caracas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colo Colo W found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Caracas W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 1 outings.

Solid form: Colo Colo W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Caracas W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colo Colo W VS Caracas W
3.13 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colo Colo W

(Home)
15 Oct
Corinthians W
2 : 0
Colo Colo W
04 Oct
Colo Colo W
4 : 0
Deportes Iquique W
25 Sept
Deportes Iquique W
0 : 6
Colo Colo W
03 Sept
Colo Colo W
4 : 0
Deportes Iquique W
29 Aug
Magallanes W
0 : 6
Colo Colo W
Page 1 of 7

Caracas W

(Away)
05 Feb
Caracas W
0 : 1
Atl. Venezuela W

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Colo Colo W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Independiente del Valle W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Universitario de Deportes W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional W W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)