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Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Ararat A.
35'
Sub
Ararat A. In: Landazuri L.
Out: Ararat A.
38'
Ruiz E.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U20 game between Colombia U20 and Ecuador U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Colombia U20
20%
Draws
24%
Ecuador U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ecuador U20 haven't matched Colombia U20's recent run of results.
  • Colombia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Colombia U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U20 Ecuador U20
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 21 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:0
Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Feb 7, 2023 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarreal N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ecuador U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U20 95 / 100
Ecuador U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U20 Ecuador U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ecuador U20 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Colombia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U20 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U20

(Home)
28 May
Colombia U20
2 : 1
Costa Rica U20
26 May
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Costa Rica U20
18 Oct
Colombia U20
1 : 0
France U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
Page 1 of 6

Ecuador U20

(Away)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)