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Colombia U21 vs Haiti U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Damus R.
71' Event
Quinones J.
84' Event
Sandoval L.

AI Match Summary

Colombia U21 in this Central American & Caribbean Games 2018 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Colombia U21
20%
Draws
29%
Haiti U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colombia U21 lately — more wins on the board than Haiti U21.
  • Model gives Colombia U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Colombia U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombia U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Colombia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Haiti U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U21 Haiti U21
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 16 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.7 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Colombia U21 vs Haiti U21
3:1
Nov 28, 2002 Central American & Caribbean Games
Haiti U21 vs Colombia U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sandoval L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Haiti U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Damus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U21 76 / 100
Haiti U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U21 Haiti U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Haiti U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Colombia U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U21 VS Haiti U21
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U21

(Home)
07 Aug
Panama U21
2 : 1
Colombia U21
06 Aug
Colombia U21
0 : 1
Venezuela U21
03 Aug
Costa Rica U21
1 : 1
Colombia U21
01 Aug
Colombia U21
1 : 0
Cuba U21
30 Jul
Panama U21
0 : 1
Colombia U21
Page 1 of 6

Haiti U21

(Away)
31 Jul
Haiti U21
0 : 3
Honduras U21
29 Jul
Colombia U21
3 : 1
Haiti U21
26 Jul
Haiti U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
23 Jul
Venezuela U21
2 : 0
Haiti U21
21 Jul
El Salvador U21
0 : 1
Haiti U21
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Colombia U21 3
Haiti U21 1
Venezuela U21 1
Honduras U21 0
Final
Colombia U21 2
Venezuela U21 1
Haiti U21 0
Honduras U21 3