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Stadium Background

Colombia U23 vs Peru U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Calderon Vargas K. A.
29' Event
Palacios Alzate B.
41' Event
Castilla J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Colombia U23 and Peru U23 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Colombia U23
15%
Draws
49%
Peru U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peru U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombia U23 come out ahead of Peru U23 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Colombia U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U23 Peru U23
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.41 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Peru U23
3:1
Dec 9, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Peru U23
1:1
Oct 13, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Colombia U23
1:0
Oct 10, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Colombia U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Calderon Vargas K. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios Alzate B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Peru U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goicochea Del Carpio J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U23 36 / 100
Peru U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U23 Peru U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 20 matches.

Attacking prowess: Colombia U23 scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Peru U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U23 VS Peru U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U23

(Home)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
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Peru U23

(Away)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
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