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Colombia vs Australia

World World

Friendly International 2025 Citi Field, New York, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
O'Neill A.
51'
Rowles K.
59'
Sub
Rowles K. In: Elder C.
Out: Rowles K.

AI Match Summary

Colombia in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Colombia
30%
Draws
23%
Australia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Australia have won more games recently than Colombia.
  • Colombia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Colombia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%
Australia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Australia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Friendly International
Colombia vs Australia
3:0
Mar 27, 2018 Friendly International
Australia vs Colombia
0:0
Feb 27, 2001 Friendly International
Colombia vs Australia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lerma J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Australia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 68 / 100
Australia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Australia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Colombia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Australia has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Australia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia

(Home)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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Australia

(Away)
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Switzerland
1 : 1
Australia
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