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Colombia vs Paraguay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Caceres J.
46'
Sub
Angulo A. In: Campaz J.
Out: Angulo A.
46'
Sub
Suarez L. In: Viveros K.
Out: Suarez L.

AI Match Summary

Paraguay in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Colombia
20%
Draws
47%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paraguay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraguay haven't matched Colombia's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Colombia Clean Sheet 23%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Paraguay
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Friendly International
Colombia vs Paraguay
0:1
Mar 26, 2025 World Championship
Colombia vs Paraguay
2:2
Jun 24, 2024 Copa América
Colombia vs Paraguay
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 World Championship
Paraguay vs Colombia
0:1
Nov 20, 2022 Friendly International
Colombia vs Paraguay
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez H. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 37 / 100
Paraguay 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Colombia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Paraguay conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Paraguay
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia

(Home)
06 Oct
Colombia
2 : 0
Peru
03 Oct
Colombia
0 : 1
Paraguay
27 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Colombia
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
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Paraguay

(Away)
03 Oct
Colombia
0 : 1
Paraguay
27 Sept
Bolivia
0 : 2
Paraguay
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
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