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Colombia vs Peru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Asprilla Y. In: Rengifo J.
Out: Asprilla Y.
51'
Noriega E.
53'
Sub
Ugarriza A. In: Lapadula G.
Out: Ugarriza A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Colombia and Peru finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Colombia
20%
Draws
10%
Peru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Colombia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Colombia a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%
Peru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Peru
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.59 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 World Championship
Colombia vs Peru
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 World Championship
Peru vs Colombia
1:1
Jan 28, 2022 World Championship
Colombia vs Peru
0:1
Jul 10, 2021 Copa América
Colombia vs Peru
3:2
Jun 21, 2021 Copa América
Colombia vs Peru
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasquez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arcila D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Peru Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 95 / 100
Peru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Peru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colombia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Peru conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Colombia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Peru
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia

(Home)
06 Oct
Colombia
2 : 0
Peru
03 Oct
Colombia
0 : 1
Paraguay
27 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Colombia
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
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Peru

(Away)
06 Oct
Colombia
2 : 0
Peru
03 Oct
Canada
2 : 0
Peru
30 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Peru
26 Sept
USA
4 : 1
Peru
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
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