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Colombia W vs Mexico W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Women Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Colombia W Logo

Colombia W

Fri, Aug 7, 2026
1 - 2
12:00 AM
Mexico W Logo

Mexico W

Our Tip

Match Events

118' Event
Guerra I.
Assist: Martinez S.
120' Event
Mendoza A.
1' Event
Carvajal M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Colombia W
15%
Draws
50%
Mexico W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mexico W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mexico W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia W Mexico W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 27
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.83 3.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
1:2
Jul 31, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
0:1
Jul 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Colombia W
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Colombia W
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia W 10 / 100
Mexico W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia W Mexico W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Colombia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mexico W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 24% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Colombia W VS Mexico W
2.25 Goals Scored 3.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Puerto Rico W
0 : 3
Colombia W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
Page 1 of 6

Mexico W

(Away)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Mexico W
0 : 0
Puerto Rico W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Venezuela W 2
Colombia W 3
Mexico W 4
El Salvador W 1
Final
Colombia W 1
Mexico W 2
Venezuela W 1
El Salvador W 2