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Colombo vs Moragasmulla

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colombo in this Champions League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Colombo
20%
Draws
0%
Moragasmulla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Colombo have won more games recently than Moragasmulla.
  • Win probability leans Colombo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Colombo Clean Sheet 18%
Moragasmulla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombo Moragasmulla
Matches Played 41 20
Wins 23 1
Draws 11 3
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.46 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.12 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.46 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2017 Super League
Colombo vs Moragasmulla
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombo 85 / 100
Moragasmulla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombo Moragasmulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colombo scored in 80% of their last 41 outings.

Moragasmulla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 20 matches.

Away concern: Moragasmulla has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Colombo VS Moragasmulla
2.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombo

(Home)
12 Sept
Red Star
2 : 2
Colombo
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
14 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 1
Colombo
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Moragasmulla

(Away)
05 Jul
Moragasmulla
0 : 8
Renown
28 Jun
Red Star
2 : 1
Moragasmulla
15 Jun
Java Lane
4 : 3
Moragasmulla
22 Dec
Blue Eagles
7 : 0
Moragasmulla
17 Dec
Moragasmulla
3 : 4
Super Sun
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombo 17 12 4 1 46:11 40
2 Renown 17 12 4 1 44:18 40
3 New Young's SC 17 9 5 3 34:15 32
4 Super Sun 17 9 4 4 27:17 31
5 Pelicans SC 17 8 5 4 25:17 29
6 Blue Eagles 17 7 7 3 24:14 28
7 Matara City 17 7 6 4 28:17 27
8 Solid 17 6 5 6 26:28 23
9 Defenders FC 17 6 4 7 26:17 22
10 Saunders 17 5 7 5 21:24 22
11 Sea Hawks 17 6 2 9 23:26 20
12 UP Country Lions 17 6 2 9 36:51 20
13 Blue Star 17 4 6 7 18:27 18
14 Java Lane 17 4 5 8 19:30 17
15 Negombo Youth 17 5 2 10 24:41 17
16 Crystal Palace 17 4 4 9 23:39 16
17 Sri Lanka Police 17 4 1 12 18:41 13
18 Moragasmulla 17 1 3 13 19:48 6
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