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Colombo vs Sea Hawks

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aakib M.
36' Event
Madushan D.
65' Event
Hasmeer M.

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks in this Super League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sea Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Colombo
28%
Draws
22%
Sea Hawks
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colombo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sea Hawks have won more games recently than Colombo.
  • Model gives Colombo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Colombo Clean Sheet 16%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombo Sea Hawks
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2022 Super League
Colombo vs Sea Hawks
2:3
Feb 13, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Colombo
0:4
Nov 22, 2017 Super League
Colombo vs Sea Hawks
2:0
Feb 14, 2017 Super League
Colombo vs Sea Hawks
3:1
Dec 2, 2015 Super League
Colombo vs Sea Hawks
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aakib M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seka J. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sea Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Madushan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hasmeer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombo 48 / 100
Sea Hawks 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombo Sea Hawks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sea Hawks has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Colombo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombo VS Sea Hawks
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombo

(Home)
12 Jul
Colombo
0 : 0
Defenders FC
11 Jan
Colombo
2 : 3
Sea Hawks
07 Jan
Colombo
2 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Dec
UP Country Lions
2 : 3
Colombo
15 Dec
Defenders FC
1 : 3
Colombo
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Sea Hawks

(Away)
20 Jul
Sea Hawks
1 : 0
Red Star
11 Jan
Colombo
2 : 3
Sea Hawks
07 Jan
Ratnam SC
0 : 1
Sea Hawks
28 Dec
Sea Hawks
2 : 1
Red Star
16 Dec
Blue Star
3 : 0
Sea Hawks
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