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Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Santa Fe
Colon Santa Fe Logo

Colon Santa Fe

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colon Santa Fe host Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Colon Santa Fe have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Almirante Brown's 0.75 scored and 0.64 conceded. Past meetings favor Colon Santa Fe slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.75, favoring Colon Santa Fe. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Colon Santa Fe
30%
Draws
16%
Almirante Brown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colon Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Almirante Brown haven't matched Colon Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Colon Santa Fe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Santa Fe Almirante Brown
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown
1:0
Mar 10, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe
2:0
Jul 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon Santa Fe 67 / 100
Almirante Brown 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Santa Fe Almirante Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colon Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon Santa Fe scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Colon Santa Fe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Almirante Brown has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colon Santa Fe VS Almirante Brown
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon Santa Fe

(Home)
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
All Boys
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

Almirante Brown

(Away)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)