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Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Santa Fe
Colon Santa Fe Logo

Colon Santa Fe

1 - 2
FT
Deportivo Moron Logo

Deportivo Moron

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Burruchaga M.
33'
Lazza E.
33'
Barrios P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colon Santa Fe and Deportivo Moron finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Moron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Colon Santa Fe
15%
Draws
48%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Moron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Colon Santa Fe haven't matched Deportivo Moron's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Colon Santa Fe a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Santa Fe Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Colon Santa Fe
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Colon Santa Fe
1:0
Sep 2, 2024 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonansea A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Levato M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berterame G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon Santa Fe 51 / 100
Deportivo Moron 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Santa Fe Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon Santa Fe's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Colon Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Colon Santa Fe VS Deportivo Moron
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon Santa Fe

(Home)
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
All Boys
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)