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Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Santa Fe
Colon Santa Fe Logo

Colon Santa Fe

3 - 0
FT
Patronato Logo

Patronato

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Picco A.
29'
Sub
Allende L. In: Buosi J.
Out: Allende L.
45' Event
Toledo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colon Santa Fe in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colon Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Colon Santa Fe
35%
Draws
28%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colon Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colon Santa Fe lately — more wins on the board than Patronato.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colon Santa Fe have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Santa Fe Patronato
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 14
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.24 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe
0:2
Jul 14, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato
4:0
Oct 5, 2022 Liga Profesional
Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Toledo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lago I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Patronato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon Santa Fe 41 / 100
Patronato 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Santa Fe Patronato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colon Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon Santa Fe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Colon Santa Fe's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Patronato has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Colon Santa Fe VS Patronato
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon Santa Fe

(Home)
17 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
2 : 2
Almirante Brown
11 Oct
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
All Boys
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

Patronato

(Away)
17 Oct
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Patronato
11 Oct
Patronato
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)